RaceMetricsMeasuring what matters

Meeting Pace & Draw Analysis

Updated 29 October 2026

Meeting Pace & Draw Analysis provides detailed sectional pace data and draw bias analysis for completed flat race meetings. It reveals how the pace unfolded, how each horse finished relative to par times, whether the track was favouring front-runners or closers, and whether certain draw positions had a significant advantage on the day.

Accessing the Page

  • From any past racecard (a race with results), click the Meeting Pace button in the race header
  • From the Dashboard results view, click the Meeting Pace Analysis pill next to a course with sectional data
  • For Irish flat meetings (which do not have sectional data), a Meeting Draw Analysis button appears instead, showing draw bias analysis only
  • Requires a Proform Premium subscription with the Sectionals Add On

Two Modes

The page operates in two modes depending on data availability:

  • Full mode (Meeting Pace Analysis): Available for GB meetings with sectional data. Shows pace bias, pace bars, runner sectional tables, and draw analysis
  • Draw-only mode (Meeting Draw Analysis): Available for flat meetings without sectional data (e.g. Irish meetings). Shows draw bias analysis with per-race winner summaries and a collated draw summary table

Meeting Overview

The top of the page displays meeting-level bias badges:

  • Pace Bias (full mode only): Whether the meeting favoured front-runners or closers, derived from winner running styles and placed horse distributions
  • Draw Bias (both modes): Whether low or high draws dominated, based on winner draw positions relative to field midpoints

Draw Bias Badges

  • Low Draw Bias: Majority of winners came from low stalls (at or below the field midpoint)
  • High Draw Bias: Majority of winners came from high stalls
  • Draw Advantage: Winners came from stalls with high historical Impact Values (above 1.50 average)
  • No Draw Bias: Even spread of winning draws across the meeting

Draw & Stall Impact Values

Each runner's Draw column shows their stall number. Below it, the Stall IV (Impact Value) shows how that stall has performed historically at this course and distance over the previous 5 years.

  • IV = 1.00 — the stall wins exactly as often as expected
  • IV ≥ 1.30 (green) — significantly advantaged stall
  • IV ≤ 0.70 (red) — significantly disadvantaged stall

IVs are calculated using the independent events method: for each stall, only races where that stall had a runner are considered. This correctly accounts for the fact that higher-numbered stalls only appear in larger fields. The formula is: IV = (wins / races_with_stall) / (races_with_stall / total_runners_in_those_races). A minimum of 5 qualifying races is required before a stall IV is shown.

Baselines are calculated from the 5 years of results prior to the meeting date, so they reflect only what was known at the time of the meeting.

Draw Summary Table

Below the race cards (or the per-race summaries in draw-only mode), a Draw Summary table collates the draw data across all flat races at the meeting:

  • Winner Draw: The stall the winner came from in each race
  • Stall IV: The historical Impact Value for that winning stall, colour-coded green (≥1.30) or red (≤0.70)
  • Low/High: Whether the winner's stall was below or above the field midpoint
  • Totals row: Overall counts and average winner IV across the meeting

Race Cards (Full Mode)

Each race is displayed as a card showing:

  • Race header: Time, race name, class, distance, going, number of runners, and the Finishing Speed Percentage (FSP) for the race
  • Pace bar: A colour-coded bar split into furlong sections. Each section is coloured by how it compared to par time — green for faster than par, red for slower, with intensity showing magnitude
  • Early Pace label: Categorises the first half of the race (e.g. Fast, Steady, Average)

Runner Table (Full Mode)

Below each pace bar, the runner table shows per-horse sectional performance:

Column Description
PosFinishing position
HorseHorse name (clickable to open profile)
DrawStall position. The number below is the historical Impact Value for that stall at this course and distance (green = advantaged, red = disadvantaged)
SRProform Speed Rating achieved. Value in brackets shows difference to Class Par
StyleRunning style classification with icon (e.g. FR, PROM, STK, MID, CLO, HU)
Pos TrackPosition at key race stages showing how the horse travelled through the field
+/-Net positions gained or lost from start to finish. Green = gained, red = lost
FS 2fFinishing Speed percentage difference vs par at 2 furlongs out. The most reliable effort indicator. Hover for mph
FS 1fFinishing Speed percentage difference vs par at 1 furlong out. Hover for mph
FS FinFinishing Speed percentage difference vs par at the finish. Use with caution — easing down can distort. Hover for mph

Finishing Speed Columns

The FS columns show how each horse's speed at 2f out, 1f out, and the finish compared to par:

  • Positive values (green): Faster than par — the horse was finishing strongly
  • Negative values (red): Slower than par — the horse was weakening
  • Near zero: Running close to the expected pace for that section
  • Hover over any value to see the actual speed in miles per hour

Pace Bar Colour Key

  • Green: Section run faster than par (darker = much faster)
  • Red: Section run slower than par (darker = much slower)
  • Grey: Close to par (within ±0.2 seconds)

Hover over the pace bar to see a detailed breakdown of each section's time difference from par, race conditions, and the early pace classification.

Theme Toggle

A light/dark theme toggle is available in the top-right corner. The page uses its own independent theme setting that is remembered across sessions.