RaceMetrics ratings are our proprietary performance measure designed to track form over time. Unlike traditional ratings that focus only on horses, our system rates all participant types.
Rating Scale
- 1600+: Elite level - exceptional performers
- 1550+: High performing - consistently above average
- 1500: Average performance level
- Below 1450: Below average - struggling form
Combined Score
The Combined Score is a weighted average of all 6 connection ratings (Owner, Trainer, Jockey, Dam, Sire, Damsire). This provides a single number that captures the overall quality of a horse's connections.
Weighting: Owner 20%, Trainer 20%, Jockey 20%, Dam 18%, Sire 12%, Damsire 10%
Combined Score Win Rates
Every runner since January 2023, grouped by its own Combined Score before the race. "vs Random" compares the winners with what an equal chance in each race (one divided by the number of runners) would give:
| Tier | Score Range | Win % | vs Random |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elite | 1600+ | 44.35% | 2.90x |
| Very High | 1575-1599 | 33.10% | 2.59x |
| High | 1550-1574 | 23.29% | 2.01x |
| Above Avg | 1525-1549 | 17.56% | 1.57x |
| Average | 1500-1524 | 12.31% | 1.14x |
| Below Avg | 1475-1499 | 7.95% | 0.76x |
| Low | 1450-1474 | 4.97% | 0.48x |
| Bottom | Under 1450 | 2.87% | 0.27x |
Top Score in Race: The horse with the highest Combined Score in each race has won 23.04% of the time since 2023 (1.84x random).
How Ratings Update
Ratings are recalculated after every race based on actual performance. When a participant runs, their rating adjusts based on:
- Finishing position relative to expectations
- Quality of opposition faced
- Race conditions and class
Rating Changes
The "Biggest Movers" section on the dashboard highlights participants whose ratings have changed significantly. Green indicators show rising form, while red indicates declining performance.